Tropical Disturbance in Gulf Anticipated to Develop into Depression Soon

The tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico is expected to strengthen and likely develop into a depression soon, with an 80% chance of development within a week. Rainfall and gusty winds are anticipated in Florida, with potential flooding due to saturated ground conditions. The system is projected to reach land by midweek.

TAMPA, Florida (WFLA) — The tropical disturbance currently observed in the Gulf of Mexico is exhibiting signs of intensification and is anticipated to develop into a tropical or subtropical depression within the forthcoming days, as reported by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). As of a 2 a.m. update on Saturday, the likelihood of development within a week stands at 80%, while the chance of such development in the next 48 hours is assessed at 50%. Although the low-pressure area remains broad, it is generating winds that are nearly at gale force, according to the NHC. Meteorologist Rebecca Barry from Max Defender 8 noted, “We expect a tropical storm or a Category 1 hurricane to track across the state late Tuesday night into Wednesday,” with the system poised to receive the name Milton, following the yearly naming convention. Residents of Florida, as well as those in the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico and the Bahamas, are urged to monitor the progression of this system as it advances eastward or northeastward across the Gulf. Barry further stated, “It’s too soon to tell what areas will be impacted the most, as that will depend heavily on landfall location.” The NHC reports that gusty winds and significant rainfall will begin impacting Florida and portions of Mexico from late this weekend through early next week. Chief Meteorologist Jeff Berardelli elaborated, stating, “Heavy downpours will begin Sunday as the first wave of moisture reaches Florida’s coast,” with a pattern of rainfall interspersed with dry intervals expected to persist until Tuesday. Given the saturation of the ground due to what has been recorded as one of the rainiest wet seasons, Berardelli warns that any substantial downpours may result in flooding. While the precise trajectory of the impending storm and its strength by the time it nears Florida on Wednesday remains uncertain, forecasts suggest that Central to South Florida could receive between 5 to 10 inches of rainfall. Meanwhile, a new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa, carrying a 30% chance of development within the next week as it travels across the Atlantic. In the broader Atlantic context, Hurricane Kirk maintains its strength, with large swells projected to reach the U.S. East Coast by Sunday. Additionally, Hurricane Leslie, located in the Tropical East Atlantic, has experienced slight strengthening as it follows a west-northwestward path.

The article pertains to the ongoing tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico, which is a significant meteorological event affecting the southeastern United States. The National Hurricane Center is closely monitoring this disturbance, which is predicted to develop into a tropical depression. The implications of such developments are critical for preparedness and response measures for communities in Florida and surrounding regions that could potentially face impactful weather conditions, including heavy rainfall and gusty winds. Furthermore, the article highlights the environment’s saturation following an unusually wet season, which raises concerns about flooding risk.

In summary, the tropical disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico is strengthening and is on track to develop into a depression, with Florida likely facing heavy rain and wind beginning late this weekend. Authorities emphasize the uncertainty regarding the landfall location and potential impact areas, urging residents to remain vigilant. Forecasters are monitoring additional weather systems, underscoring an active tropical season.

Original Source: www.wfla.com