Mozambique Faces Threat from Cyclone Dikeledi: Multi-Sectoral Rapid Assessment

Cyclone Dikeledi has formed in Mozambique, threatening severe weather conditions, particularly in Nampula province. Heavy rainfall and destructive winds pose risks to over 255,000 individuals, with 491 schools and 62 health facilities at risk. The cyclone may re-intensify as it approaches Madagascar, emphasizing the need for immediate assistance in the affected areas.

Mozambique faces a significant weather threat as Tropical Storm Dikeledi has intensified into a tropical cyclone, currently moving through Nampula province. Forecasts predict the system will weaken over land but may regain strength as it approaches warmer waters of the Mozambique Channel, potentially becoming an intense cyclone between January 14 and 15, which could affect Madagascar.

The provinces of Nampula, Cabo Delgado, and Zambezia are experiencing severe weather, especially around the landfall zone, with heavy rainfall and destructive winds impacting Nampula the most. Hazardous sea conditions are prevalent between Ilha de Moçambique and northern Zambezia amid these challenges.

As a result, Nampula province is projected to be gravely affected, with approximately 255,310 people at risk, including 98,000 in high-risk areas requiring urgent assistance. The intensity of Cyclone Dikeledi, with anticipated rainfall of up to 200 mm within 24 hours and winds up to 120 km/h, is comparable to Cyclone Chido, although it is expected to have a shorter duration.

Significant flooding risks exist in rivers and basins, alongside potential damage to vital infrastructure, including roads and electricity. Moreover, 491 schools and 62 health facilities are at risk of destruction due to the predicted conditions. The National Meteorology Institute warns of the adverse impacts on coastal districts, particularly Mossuril, Angoche, and Mogincual in Nampula province.

Mozambique has been vulnerable to extreme weather events, particularly tropical cyclones, which pose threats to human life and infrastructure. Understanding the impact of such weather patterns is critical for disaster preparedness and response. This assessment focuses on Tropical Storm Dikeledi, reflecting on past occurrences, current conditions, and projected impacts, to provide a comprehensive outlook and urgency for humanitarian efforts in the affected regions.

In summary, Cyclone Dikeledi poses a serious threat to Mozambique, particularly affecting the provinces of Nampula, Cabo Delgado, and Zambezia. With extensive rainfall and strong winds expected, urgent humanitarian assistance is required for the most vulnerable populations. Preparedness measures must be taken to mitigate flooding and infrastructure damage while ensuring the safety of affected communities.

Original Source: reliefweb.int