Tropical Cyclone Activity Report – January 30, 2025

The PDC’s January 30, 2025, report highlights two active tropical cyclones, 11S and 12S, facing adverse conditions in the Southern Indian Ocean, alongside two areas of disturbed weather, Invest 96P and Invest 99S, with limited intensity forecasts. The Northeast and Central Pacific hurricane seasons have concluded for 2024.

The Pacific Disaster Center’s (PDC) Tropical Cyclone Activity Report, dated January 30, 2025, indicates the presence of two tropical cyclones in the Southern Indian Ocean. Tropical Cyclone 11S is situated approximately 590 nautical miles south-southwest of Diego Garcia and is facing significant challenges due to dry air and strong easterly shear, maintaining sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots. Meanwhile, Tropical Cyclone 12S, named Elvis, is located 619 nautical miles east-northeast of Port Louis, Mauritius, with sustained winds of 40 knots and gusts reaching 50 knots.

In the Northeast and Central Pacific Oceans, there are currently no active tropical cyclones, as both the eastern North Pacific and central North Pacific hurricane seasons have concluded for 2024, with routine reports set to resume in May and June 2025 respectively. The report also noted a disturbed weather area termed Invest 96P, located about 194 nautical miles southeast of Cairns, Australia, which shows potential for development, although its intensity remains low.

Another area of disturbed weather, Invest 99S, has been identified approximately 243 nautical miles southwest of Christmas Island, exhibiting some organization but also with a low likelihood of developing into a significant tropical cyclone. Overall, both systems are in favorable environments for further consolidation, but substantial intensification is not anticipated within the next 24 hours due to prevailing conditions.

This report emphasizes the critical observations and forecasts regarding the current tropical cyclone activity in the Pacific, highlighting challenges faced by the systems involved, and setting expectations for their potential development in the coming days. As always, updates and special outlooks will be issued by relevant agencies as conditions evolve throughout the off-season.

The Pacific Disaster Center provides regular updates on tropical cyclones and weather disturbances affecting the Pacific and Indian Oceans. The data reported includes the positions, wind speeds, and overall conditions impacting these systems and offers forecasts for potential tracks and intensities. This information is vital for public safety and preparedness in affected regions as cyclones can pose severe risks to life and property.

In summary, the current tropical cyclone situation includes two active systems in the Southern Indian Ocean while the Pacific cyclone seasons are on hiatus. Both Tropical Cyclone 11S and 12S are under certain unfavorable conditions that hinder their intensification, though Invest 96P and Invest 99S show some potential for development. Continuous monitoring and updates will be essential as conditions evolve.

Original Source: www.pdc.org