NOAA Predicts Above-Average 2025 Hurricane Season in Atlantic Basin

NOAA predicts an above-average 2025 hurricane season from June 1 to November 30, with 13 to 19 named storms expected. The forecast includes 6-10 hurricanes and 3-5 major hurricanes, influenced by factors like ocean temperatures and the West African Monsoon.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has unveiled its predictions for the upcoming 2025 hurricane season, which is set to commence on June 1 and conclude on November 30. This year, forecasts indicate a likelihood of above-average storm activity in the Atlantic Basin. More specifically, there is a 30% probability of an average season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, while only a 10% chance predicts a below-normal season.

According to NOAA’s projections, the Atlantic is expected to brace for between 13 and 19 named storms this season. Out of these, it is anticipated that 6 to 10 will escalate into hurricanes, with 3 to 5 reaching major hurricane status. NOAA expresses a 70% confidence level in these estimates, reflecting the organization’s careful analysis of current meteorological conditions.

The anticipated active season is likely influenced by several factors including ENSO-neutral conditions, elevated ocean temperatures, diminished wind shear, and increased activity linked to the West African Monsoon. These elements create more favorable environments for the development of tropical storms.

Weaker trade winds combined with heated ocean water enhances energy availability for storm formation. The warming of ocean waters, coupled with minimal wind shear, contributes to ideal conditions for storms to evolve quickly.

Moreover, understanding the activity of the West African Monsoon plays a critical role in forecasting tropical storm developments in the Atlantic. Most hurricanes that form in the basin typically originate off the coast of Africa, making this information particularly important for accurate predictions.

For further details on the forecast, viewers are encouraged to tune into KTEN News and to download the KTEN weather app for timely updates from Meteorologist reports.

As the season approaches, residents are reminded to stay informed and prepared, given NOAA’s above-average expectations for storm activity this year. It is always better to good preparedness, especially as conditions such as warm waters and weakened winds signal a heightened risk for significant storms in the months ahead.

In summary, NOAA’s forecast for the 2025 hurricane season suggests an above-average amount of storm activity in the Atlantic Basin. With expectations of 13 to 19 named storms and a considerable likelihood of several hurricanes forming, it is crucial for communities to prepare adequately. Considering the influences of ocean temperatures and climatic patterns, staying informed through reliable weather updates will be essential this season.

Original Source: www.kten.com