Will Japan’s Anti-Immigrant Far-Right Parties Win More Votes?

• Japan’s political landscape is shifting, highlighting anti-immigrant sentiments as pivotal ahead of the House of Councillors election.
• The far-right party Sanseito is gaining traction, currently polling at 5.9% amidst a crowded election.
• Disappointment in the ruling Liberal Democratic Party could lead to coalitions with smaller, more conservative parties.

Rise of Anti-Immigrant Sentiment in Japan

As the House of Councillors election approaches this Sunday, the political atmosphere in Japan is becoming increasingly charged. Far-right parties are prominently featuring anti-immigrant rhetoric in their campaigns, mirroring the tactics of populist movements seen in the United States and across Europe. With discussions typically occupying the political landscape around inflation and jobs, the emergence of ultraconservative sentiments seems to be reshaping the narrative as voters head to the polls.

Sanseito Party’s Unexpected Influence

Particularly noteworthy is the trajectory of the Sanseito party, which was established in 2020 and has emerged as a significant player in the election. Despite remaining relatively low in the polls, at about 5.9%, the party has been able to draw attention in a crowded field with ten parties competing for seats. Analysts have pointed out that a substantial portion, over 33%, of the electorate is currently undecided, which leaves room for parties like Sanseito to capitalize on growing discontent with the traditional political establishment and mobilize support.

Potential Power Shifts and Coalition Governance

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party, which has seen better days, is teetering under the weight of recent scandals and now stands at only 24% in voter support according to recent polls. Political experts are suggesting that the election’s outcome could leave the LDP in a weakened position, possibly leading to negotiations with smaller parties for coalition governance. This scenario could grant leverage to hardline groups, such as Sanseito and the Conservative Party of Japan, thereby dramatically altering the power dynamics within the government and potentially even positioning an ultraconservative party within the cabinet itself.

In conclusion, the anti-immigrant rhetoric being employed by ultraconservative parties in Japan is reshaping the political landscape as the House of Councillors election nears. The rise of the Sanseito party reflects a shift in voter sentiments, with many still undecided on their choice. With the ruling party struggling, the political landscape could be ripe for negotiations that empower smaller, far-right groups.