The Uncertain Future of US Troops in Syria Amid Turkish and Israeli Pressures

The US military presence in Syria is under scrutiny due to pressures from Turkey and Israel concerning the Kurdish SDF’s role against the Islamic State. A potential US withdrawal could improve relations with Turkey but may leave the SDF vulnerable. Meanwhile, Israel supports ongoing US assistance to the SDF because of its importance in limiting IS resurgence.

The future of American troops in Syria is uncertain, influenced by conflicting pressures from Turkey and Israel regarding the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and their role against the Islamic State (IS). Currently, a US force of around 2,000 personnel is aiding the SDF, which is crucial in preventing IS resurgence as thousands of its militants remain imprisoned. However, Turkey’s insistence on viewing the SDF as insurgents threatens this US presence, complicating matters in the region.

Turkey’s President Erdogan sees the situation as a chance to reshape relations with the new Trump administration. Analysts argue that a US withdrawal would alleviate tensions between Turkey and the US, suggesting that Turkey could ensure the safety of US soldiers during a strategic pullout from Syria. According to Bilgehan Alagoz from Marmara University, this scenario may pave the way for a reset in US-Turkey relations, presenting new negotiation opportunities.

However, analysts warn that the SDF faces a critical moment. Former Turkish diplomat Aydin Selcen indicates that a US withdrawal could remove the protective diplomatic support for the SDF, potentially jeopardizing its future. As time runs out, the SDF must consider integrating with Syrian government forces to mitigate Turkish security concerns.

Israel, on the other hand, advocates for continued US support for the SDF, recognizing the danger posed by IS. Experts such as Gallia Lindenstrauss highlight that the SDF’s control over IS prisoners makes their presence critical for regional security. Israel’s foreign policy aims to strengthen relations with the Kurdish group, which has proven reliable in addressing Israeli security interests.

The future of US troops in Syria hangs in the balance, amid competing pressures from Turkey and Israel regarding the Kurdish forces. While Turkey favors a US withdrawal to improve ties, Israel sees value in American support for the SDF to combat IS. The SDF must navigate these complexities quickly to ensure its survival and influence, while the US administration must weigh its foreign policy options carefully.

Original Source: www.rfi.fr