Potential Tropical Development in the Caribbean and Atlantic Systems

A low-pressure system in the Caribbean may develop into a tropical storm or depression by this weekend, with a 50% chance of development. Heavy rainfall is likely in Central America and southern Mexico. Another system in the Atlantic is expected to have minimal impact, with only a 10% chance of development.

The National Hurricane Center in Miami has reported that a low-pressure system residing in the western Caribbean Sea has the potential to develop into a tropical storm or depression over the course of the weekend. Currently situated north of eastern Honduras, this system is producing increased showers and thunderstorms in the northwestern Caribbean and is becoming more well-defined, as indicated in the latest update published at 7 a.m. on Friday. There exists a possibility for further development within the next 24 hours, leading to its transformation into a tropical storm or depression as it moves inland towards Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico by Saturday. Forecasts estimate a 50% likelihood of development within both the next two days and throughout the upcoming week. Regardless of its development, substantial rainfall is anticipated across Central America and southern Mexico through the weekend. In addition to the Caribbean system, forecasters are monitoring another low-pressure system in the Atlantic Ocean, which is currently generating disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system is expected to maintain its trajectory, advancing northward past Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands at a pace of 20 mph before approaching Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas during the weekend. However, upper-level winds are anticipated to inhibit any further development of this system, which currently holds a mere 10% chance of evolving into a tropical system within the forthcoming week.

The report from the National Hurricane Center addresses two significant weather disturbances: one located in the Caribbean, with potential to transition into a tropical storm or depression, and another low-pressure system situated in the Atlantic. Understanding these systems is crucial for anticipating potential impacts on weather patterns and communities in Central America and surrounding regions. Weather systems in these areas can develop rapidly, making timely information essential to ensure preparedness and safety among residents.

In summary, the National Hurricane Center has indicated a potential for a low-pressure system in the western Caribbean Sea to evolve into a tropical storm or depression, with significant rainfall expected regardless of development. Additionally, another low-pressure system in the Atlantic is under surveillance but is unlikely to develop further. Residents in affected areas should remain informed and prepared for potential weather impacts over the weekend and into the following week.

Original Source: www.nola.com